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EUR/USD extends sideways grind below 1.0900
EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase below 1.0900 following the previous week's rally. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the US Dollar stays resilient against its rivals as investors scrutinize comments from central bank officials.
Gold retreated from record highs, maintains the upward bias
Gold rose sharply at the beginning of the week on escalating geopolitical tensions and touched a new all-time high of $2,450. With market mood improving modestly, XAU/USD erases a majority of its daily gains but manages to hold above $2,400.
GBP/USD holds steady near 1.2700, in an uneventful US session
GBP/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel near 1.2700 on the first trading day of the week. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar hold its ground while central bank officials fail to trigger some action ahead of this week's key events.
Ripple stays above $0.50 on Monday as firm backs research on blockchain and quantum computing
XRP price holds steady above the $0.50 key support level and edges higher on Monday, trading at 0.5130 and rising 0.70% in the day at the time of writing.
Week ahead: Nvidia results and UK CPI falling back to target
What a week for investors. The Dow Jones reached a record high and closed last week above 40,000, for the first time ever. This is a major bullish signal even though gains for global stocks were fairly modest on Friday, and European stocks closed lower.
DEEPER DIVE
Like there’s no tomorrow: Unpacking consumer credit
The recent run-up in revolving debt combined with the much higher financing costs raises doubts about the ability of credit to continue to make up for the shortfall between modest real income growth and aspirational spending.
Inventories are quiet, a little too quiet
The economy is in the midst of an unusually calm stretch with respect to inventory investment. It is like the point in the scary movie when someone points out that all the forest creatures have gotten quiet.
Softer growth, cooler inflation and rate cuts remain on the horizon
Economic growth in the United States appears to be in solid shape. Although real GDP growth came in well below consensus expectations and amounted to just 1.6% annualized in Q1-2024.
FXS Signals
Technical Confluences Detector
XAU/USD retreated from record highs, maintains the upward bias Premium
Gold traded at fresh record highs early on Monday, with XAU/USD hitting $2,449.92. The bright metal retreated in an eventful European session, mostly due to profit-taking, as the US Dollar lacks strength of its own. The American currency trades uneventfully across the FX board as market participants lack fresh clues from an empty macroeconomic calendar.
The XAU/USD pair bounced modestly with Wall Street’s opening, barely holding within positive ground at the moment. Investors are keeping an eye on Federal Reserve (Fed) officials who delivered comments on monetary policy.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Crypto analyst says Bitcoin bottom is very close, another correction in BTC likely
Bitcoin is trading above $67,000 on Sunday after securing support at $65,000. While BTC holds its gains steady, analysts evaluate the price trend of the largest asset by market capitalization and predict a deeper correction in Bitcoin.
AI tokens could really ahead of Nvidia earnings
Amidst other narratives, AI tokens could gather momentum with the upcoming earnings result of NVIDIA next week. The $2.3 trillion company’s stock emerged as a poster child for the crypto AI sector and gains in the stock catalyzed a rally in cryptocurrency tokens.
Whale rotates capital from WIF to TREMP and BONK, Solana meme coins make comeback
Lookonchain identified a large wallet investor who rotated capital from Solana based meme coin Dogwifhat to Doland Tremp and Bonk. The two meme coins have added double-digit value to their prices in the past 24 hours, as seen on CoinGecko.
Crypto political donations surge to $94 million pre election, exceed previous elections by 13%
Crypto industry giants supported political campaigns in the US looking for pro-crypto governance in the US. A Bloomberg report from May 17 shows that crypto donors have spent $94 million in an effort to get pro-crypto regulation in the US.
THE STOCK OF THE DAY
With 7% gain, BABA reaches six-month high Premium
Alibaba closed up 7.1% on Thursday as the ecommerce giant benefited more from JD.com’s earnings beat than its own. This gain, the best since January 23, puts Alibaba stock in striking distance of an important resistance band on the daily chart as it trades at a six-month high.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: Could FOMC Minutes provide fresh clues? Premium
The EUR/USD pair advanced for a fourth consecutive week, comfortably trading around 1.0860 ahead of the close. Progress had been shallow, as the pair is up roughly 250 pips from the year low of 1.0600 posted mid-April. The Euro lacks self-strength as economic progress in the area has been relatively limited, partially due to tight monetary conditions. The pair’s rally is a good indication of the broad US Dollar’s (USD) weakness.
GBP/USD: Upcoming UK inflation will put the rally to the test Premium
The British Pound (GBP) exhibited a bullish trend throughout the week and managed to advance to fresh five-week peaks around 1.2700 against the US Dollar (USD). This encouraged GBP/USD to close its third week of gains out of the last four ones, leaving behind at the same the key 200-day SMA at 1.2539.
US Dollar: More Fedspeak and rate cut bets in the spotlight Premium
A dreadful week for the Greenback saw the USD Index (DXY) retreat to the area of five-week lows in the 104.00 neighbourhood, managing to regain some composure in the latter part of the week.
Gold: XAU/USD looks to extend uptrend once it confirms $2,400 as support Premium
Gold (XAU/USD) price continued to push higher this week and rose above $2,400 on Friday, gaining nearly 2% for the week. Investors will continue to scrutinize comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials next week and look for fresh hints on the timing of the policy pivot in the minutes of the April 30-May 1 meeting.
Bitcoin: Is BTC out of the woods? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price action in the past two days has confirmed the resumption of the bull run. However, BTC needs to clear a few key hurdles before investors can go all-in.
Week ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Japan CPIs in focus – RBNZ to hold rates
After cool US CPI, attention shifts to UK and Japanese inflation. Flash PMIs will be watched too amid signs of a rebound in Europe. Fed to stay in the spotlight as plethora of speakers, minutes on tap. No fireworks expected from RBNZ policy decision.
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